Monday, August 14, 2017

By The Numbers

The Doctor Has Left the Citadel

Comichron released the July 2017 estimated sales today and the news for Star Wars titles is both good and bad.  The good is the main Star Wars title is still Marvel's top selling ongoing series and the Star Wars titles compare very well to other comics with all seven Star Wars comics ranking in the top 100.  The bad news is, overall, sales are down with Marvel sales being down the most compared to a year ago.

TitleIssueMonthly RankEstimated SalesLast Estimated SalesPercent Change
Star Wars33774,96970,184+6.82%
Darth Vader31259,52266,416-10.38%
Darth Maul51357,80558,240-0.75%
Doctor Aphra94238,20950,216-23.91%
Doctor Aphra104537,48138,209-1.91%
Poe Dameron175934,25034,826-1.65%
Rogue One49323,82628,256-15.68%

Interestingly, the main Star Wars title saw a modest sales increase post-Screaming Citadel and is the only title in July to do so.  Star Wars #33 has a rare standalone story, but there was not a lot of promotion for the story, so it is unclear why there was a bump in sales.  It is astonishing that for nearly three years Star Wars has remained Marvel's top selling ongoing title, even with the decline in its sales over that time.  It does feel like that reign is about to come to an end; Marvel is relaunching many of their superhero titles with Marvel Legacy in September which promises renewed focus on their core superheroes.  It will be interesting to see if Star Wars is still on top at the end of the year.

Darth Vader sales fell over 10% and the title is selling about where it would be selling if the first series had continued.  I understand with the change in creator, focus, and timeline why Marvel decided to end the title and start over again with a new #1, but Marvel would have actually sold more books during that 6 month hiatus if they had changed directions with the title in-flight.  Every issue of this second series has gone back to print and it looks like retailers are still under ordering this title.  I know I said this last month and it did not happen for issue #3, but I suspect we will see higher number for the fourth issue.

Doctor Aphra had a double ship month, shedding all the gains it made during the Screaming Citadel plus some more and it is back to within 3000+ units of Poe Dameron's sales which has seven more issues under it's belt.  Issue #10 sold 3,000 less issues than issue #6 just before the event.  Darth Vader is featured prominently on the covers for issue #12 and 13, so hopefully the potential reunion of these two characters gives this title another sales boost.  I know my interest in the title is low due to disliking the whole Ordu Aspectu and Rur story line, so I'm hoping they wrap it up soon and give Aphra more promising adventures.

Poe Dameron #17 saw a slight loss in unit sales but it is still selling better than the lowest selling issue #15.

Darth Maul #5 also saw a slight loss in unit sales and this series has held its numbers better than any of the other mini-series so far.  Since these character-focused mini-series are doing so well for Marvel, expect to see more of them.  I'd like to see Cad Bane, Aurra Sing, Boba Fett, BB-8, and R2-D2 receive the mini-series treatment.

Rogue One #4 tumbled another 15.68% and one has to wonder if Marvel will even bother with a mini-series adaptation for the next movie.  I suspect they make up for these low sales when the collection(s) are released.  You'll notice that Marvel does not published variant covers for their lower selling issues, including Rogue One #4, presumably to save money on the production costs.

In August IDW's all-age Star Wars title, Star Wars Adventures, begins.  We should also have numbers for Mace Windu #1 and Doctor Aphra Annual #1.

The following table shows the total number of Star Wars units sold per month since January 2015 along with the average number of sales per issue.

Month/YearTotal Estimated Sales# IssuesAverage Sale per Issue
January 2015985,9761985,976
February 2015526,4513175,484
March 2015596,2994149,075
April 2015537,8124134,453
May 2015324,8353108,278
June 2015396,931499,232
July 2015597,0235119,404
August 2015430,241586,048
September 2015551,8805110,376
October 2015953,2891095,329
November 20151,003,9548125,494
December 2015507,545684,591
January 2016465,698593,139
February 2016288,355472,088
March 2016355,554571,110
April 2016533,9765106,795
May 2016299,189474,797
June 2016545,833690,972
July 2016359,166571,833
August 2016322,499564,500
September 2016174,420358,140
October 2016339,778567,956
November 2016269,975553,995
December 2016303,886475,972
January 2017161,014353,671
February 2017262,889465,722
March 2017214,603453,650
April 2017274,262554,852
May 2017285,363647,560
June 2017495,588955,065
July 2017326,062746,580

The average sale per issue of 46,580, the lowest so far, would rank 29th on the top 300 chart for the month of July.  Star Wars trade paperbacks, reprint titles, and reorders are not accounted for with these numbers.  The Star Wars trade paperbacks are strong sellers.

Take a look at the Star Wars Sales Estimate Chart and please read the blog posting July 2017 comics order estimates online: Dark Days: The Casting moves 128k, Monstress Vol. 2 tops 10k.

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